An “apocalyptic” mass mortality occasion that has left hundreds of sea lions and sea elephants useless on the seashores of South America is elevating alarms amongst some California sea mammal specialists who worry related scenes may play out alongside California’s Pacific Coast and different continents because the H5N1 chook flu continues its march throughout the globe.
The extremely pathogenic avian influenza virus has change into infamous for its devastating impacts on wild and home chook populations over the past 4 years, however solely lately has it inflicted so many deaths in a mammal inhabitants.
Up till now, the flexibility of the virus to leap from mammal to mammal has been restricted, however the scale of infections and deaths in South America has raised troubling questions on whether or not one thing has modified.
Whereas it stays unclear whether or not this explicit pressure of H5N1 has improved its means to go simply between mammals, such a growth would have probably devastating consquences for endangered and non-endangered species alike.
The illness “presents an existential menace to the world’s biodiversity,” wrote Chris Walzer, govt director of well being for the Wildlife Conservation Society in a January assertion, noting that the scene of useless elephant seals may “solely be described as apocalyptic.”
Based on the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention, the H5N1 viruses circulating in birds “are believed to pose a low threat to most of the people in the US; nonetheless, individuals who have job-related or leisure exposures to contaminated birds could also be at increased threat of an infection and will take applicable precautions outlined in CDC steering.”
The World Well being Group has additionally deemed the danger of human-to-human transmission to be low, and notes that candidate vaccines have been developed for pandemic preparedness.
But the pace with which the virus has destroyed once-thriving animal populations is breathtaking, stated Marcela Uhart, a wildlife veterinarian with UC Davis’ One Well being institute, who relies in Argentina.
In November, the mortality fee for new child elephant seal pups reached 96% on one seashore in Argentina — astronomically increased than the 0.8% mortality fee noticed there in 2022.
“Ten days and it’s performed. There’s nothing left alive,” Uhart stated.
Die-offs have additionally been noticed in South American dolphins and fur seals. And the virus is virtually knocking on Antarctica’s entrance door, the place greater than 100 million birds, together with colony-living penguins, and marine mammals congregate.
“There’s local weather change and habitat destruction,” that are taking their toll on the planet’s wildlife species, stated Rebecca Duerr, an avian veterinarian with Worldwide Hen Rescue in Lengthy Seaside. “After which this. It’s grim.”
In California, some specialists say they fear in regards to the vulnerability of sea lions and sea otters.
“California has been spared a few of the enormous die-off occasions being seen elsewhere on the planet. However we nonetheless have species which can be very weak to it. We’re not out of the woods by any stretch of the creativeness,” Duerr stated.
Sea lion pups congregate at a rookery at Boomer Seaside, subsequent to Level La Jolla, in San Diego, in August 2020.
(Eduardo Contreras / San Diego Union-Tribune)
Colony nesting of seabirds and breeding of marine mammals happens all alongside the California Coast, the Channel Islands and Farallon Islands. They’re seasonally populated by such species as terns, sea lions and sea otters, amongst others.
“There’s an entire lot of concern nonetheless for what is going to occur within the greater image over time,” she stated. “This summer season is breeding season, the time that different areas of the world have seen enormous die-offs at breeding colonies.”
The results wouldn’t be restricted to simply the contaminated animals both, Duerr stated. These animals are crucial inside wider ecosystems. Guano produced from breeding chook colonies offers vitamins for marine invertebrates and fish, for example.
And if sea otters had been to endure such losses, that might endanger the well being of California’s huge kelp forests, which might be left prey to sea urchins, stated Christine Johnson, professor of epidemiology and ecosystem well being at UC Davis.
And though Southern and Northern hemisphere populations of marine mammals don’t have a lot, if any contact, Johnson stated the world is altering so shortly, we are able to’t actually make sure about something.
“The distribution of marine species is essentially dictated on the place their meals goes, which itself is dictated by ocean traits and warming,” Johnson stated. “Are there species that are actually overlapping that hadn’t been earlier than, primarily based on local weather or different elements?”
She stated forces comparable to local weather change and habitat destruction may have performed a job within the virus’ geographical enlargement, in addition to its preliminary and sustained grasp on wildlife.
“There’s growing proof that pandemics that come from wildlife, particularly, are growing in frequency,” Johnson stated. “There’s not a variety of segregation or separation between wild animals and their pathogens” and home animals and other people.
Till lately, extremely pathogenic avian influenza, or HPAI, was thought of strictly a poultry illness. It could flare up right here and there — primarily in Asia — and get stomped out shortly by killing all of the birds on an contaminated farm.
However in 2002, the virus jumped to wild birds, and in 2005, it had unfold to Japanese Europe, the place seven folks had been contaminated after de-feathering wild swans. 4 of the folks died. 9 years later, the illness reached North America — presumably by way of Alaska, the place birds from around the globe migrate and feast through the summer season. And though it died down for a bit in Canada and the U.S. — flaring up often in Asia, Europe and Africa — it got here again with a vengeance in 2021.
Since that point, not solely have lots of of tens of millions of home birds been culled, however numerous numbers of untamed birds and animals have contracted the virus.
Julianna Lenoch, the nationwide coordinator of wildlife companies for the U.S. Division of Agriculture’s Animal and Plant Well being Inspection Service, stated that whereas scientists are ready for genetic info from South America, there is no such thing as a “proof that’s of excessive concern but in the US, however I believe watching mammal spillover and potential mammalian unfold is one thing the worldwide group is in search of.”
The company routinely samples wild birds, and solely samples mammals in which there’s suspicion.
“We choose them up from state companies or wildlife rehabilitation amenities or from somebody who has a sign of suspicion … so, what we’ve might be an undercount,” she stated.
However to date, the scenario in North America is completely different from the “craziness” being seen in South America.
In the US and Canada, the one mammals which have gotten the illness — comparable to foxes, skunks, coyotes and bears — are these identified to scavenge on useless birds. There isn’t a indication there may be any mammal-to-mammal passage.

Sea otters chill out within the Morro Bay marina. Some marine mammal specialists fear that the furry mammals could also be weak to the spreading H5N1 chook flu.
(Marc Martin / Los Angeles Occasions)
However North American animals might also share a protection that South American wildlife doesn’t.
As a result of the virus has had a presence in North America since 2014, many of the continent’s wildlife has “some form of base immunity to influenza,” stated Deborah Fauquier, a veterinary medical officer with the Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. “They’ve some antibodies. Possibly not the right ones … however they’ve seen the virus earlier than.”
“In South America … these populations had been principally naive, and had not seen excessive path (influenza) earlier than. … So they simply don’t have that sort of immunity that we’ve in our seals in addition to our birds,” she stated.
So, whether or not the huge marine mammal die-offs are the results of a novel publicity to the illness, or as a result of the virus has acquired the flexibility to maneuver between mammals, stays unclear.
In both case, nonetheless, it doesn’t bode nicely for wildlife within the final remaining areas of the world the place the illness has not been detected: Antarctica and Oceania — the area that features Australia, New Zealand and the encircling islands.
Uhart stated she was setting out in late February to pattern animals in Antarctica — hitching a experience on a cruise ship. Earlier than vacationers are allowed off the boat for a touchdown, she stated, she’ll exit and do surveillance and ensure all the things seems regular; she’ll additionally acquire samples.
“We’ve seen it sufficient,” she stated. “I do know very well what it seems like.”
Johnson stated the nations of the world must be on heightened surveillance because the virus continues its scourge.
Simply as within the case of the coronavirus that induced COVID-19, this flu pressure is consistently evolving and altering — with new variants showing on a regular basis. But, fatigue is setting in amongst many governments the world over which have been battling the virus for 3 or 4 years now.
“No one desires to consider or speak about one other pandemic,” she stated. However retaining a deal with on its whereabouts and adjustments is crucial for conservation, the ecosystem and human well being.
“I believe nations want to start out getting ready for the response efforts that’s wanted for … huge biosafety considerations,” she stated. “It does have a excessive mortality fee in folks and we’re speaking about a variety of virus on the panorama.”