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I keep in mind studying at school that the flashpoint for World Warfare I used to be the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand in Sarajevo. Like most individuals, I by no means fairly understood how the first-ever World Warfare, involving over 30 nations and resulting in virtually 20 million deaths, resulted from a gratuitous homicide by a handful of radical college students. Apparently universities ought to maintain a really shut eye on scholar organizations!
I later encountered the realist college of geopolitics, which argues that the Nice Warfare was a catastrophe ready to occur. The precise reason behind the conflict, in line with realists, was not a random assassination, however the rise of German (and to a lesser extent Russian and American) financial and navy energy, which threatened the then-British-dominated world order.
Realists say this sample shouldn’t be unusual. A primary energy, alarmed on the rise of a quantity two challenger, allies itself with the quantity three energy, however finally fails to keep up its place. The shifting energy dynamics, wherein the primary energy not has the financial and navy may to again up its prime rating, produces a significant conflict, whose aftermath establishes the brand new worldwide pecking order. Within the case of the 2 World Wars, which had been actually one conflict with two main episodes, the thalassocratic British empire exhausted itself combating Germany, permitting the US to grab the primary spot.
In the present day, the US empire is ready not not like Britain’s circa 1914. Having industrialized first, constructed an enormous navy, and developed the mandatory expertise to “rule the waves” and colonize the wogs, the Brits had benefitted from an enormous head begin; however by 1914 the Germans, Russians, and People had been catching up, and the Brits not had sufficient relative energy to implement unipolar world domination.
Likewise, 2024 America remains to be coasting on the fumes of its gigantic post-World Warfare II head begin on the remainder of the world. The US emerged from World Warfare II with roughly 50% of world GDP. In 1960 it was nonetheless 40%. However the decline since then has been regular. In the present day the US solely controls 13% of world GDP. However it nonetheless imagines itself as the worldwide Goliath it was in 1960—or perhaps even larger, for the reason that Soviet ideological challenger has disappeared, and the grandiosely narcissistic neocons have seized the helm of the ship of state.
A serious conflict that can reset energy relations and take the US down a number of notches appears virtually inevitable.* The query stays, the place will the flashpoint be?
The neocons, of their infinite knowledge, have made it troublesome to guess, having alienated a lot of the world that the approaching take-down-the-US World Warfare might get away virtually anyplace. Russia and its borderlands…China and its southern sea and/or its errant province of Taiwan…and now, with the genocide of Palestine making the Islamic world even angrier than Russia and China, the entire center belt of Eurasia and North Africa is equally hostile territory.
However earlier than we begin globetrotting looking for flashpoints, why not start imagining the remodeling occasion a bit nearer to house? If the assassination of heir-presumptive Archduke Ferdinand, attributed to allegedly state-supported radical fanatics, might set off World Warfare I, might an assassination of presumptive 2024 president Donald Trump, attributed to radical Iran-supported fanatics, unleash World Warfare III?
Flashpoint Florida
Think about: It’s October 2024. Trump is main within the polls 55%-45% nationwide, with a transparent edge in all of the swing states. Abruptly, out of nowhere, a drone swoops down on Mar-a-Lago, smashes by a plate glass window like a supermosquito on steroids, and stings Trump with its explosive cost simply as he’s breaking open his seventh can of weight loss program coke. (Cinematographically, we lower from a close-up of the pssssssst as Trump opens the can to a medium shot of the just about simultaneous explosion.)
Luckily, virtually earlier than what’s left of Trump is asserted lifeless, the media tells us who did it. A radical Iranian-Palestinian terrorist named Lee Harvey Atta is arrested on the seventh ground of the Palm Seashore College E book Depository and by accident defenestrated earlier than he could be questioned. Fortunately, on the ground of the e book storeroom, authorities uncover an Iranian-made Manlicher-Carcano drone management rig full with directions written in Farsi, signed by the Supreme Chief of Iran.
President Biden, whose cognition has been revived to performance because of an Elon Musk (TM) mind implant, seems on tv extravagantly praising the late and much-lamented Trump, canceling the election, declaring that each one People are united of their thirst for vengeance, and calling for an all-out conflict on Iran to be personally commanded by a sure Bibi Netanyahu, who can be Lear-Jetted after which helicoptered in from Tel Aviv to take cost within the White Home Scenario Room. With the mutterings of conspiracy theorists silenced by the brand new AI-driven censorship algorithms, the US and the world are off to the races.
Different Potential Flashpoints
The above state of affairs, or some solely slightly-less-ludicrous variation, is probably not fairly as unlikely because it sounds. Eradicating Trump, inciting Trump supporters to conflict hysteria, and blaming Iran—a believable patsy given its said need for revenge for the assassination of Normal Soleimani—would kill three birds with one drone. The neocons could even have thought forward to such a state of affairs after they conned Trump into approving the homicide of Gen. Soleimani.
However don’t guess on Flashpoint Florida. It’s a giant world on the market, and—because of the neocons—most of it hates the US empire with a ardour. The checklist of war-trigger prospects is so lengthy that guessing proper can be like successful the lottery.
In our new “Flashpoints for Warfare” episode of False Flag Weekly Information, Cat McGuire and I started with the most recent disaster: greater than 85 US assaults on Iraq and Syria, threats of extra to come back, and counterattacks from the Resistance. With geriatric Biden below stress from his proper to behave powerful, it isn’t exhausting to see how a miscalculation, and/or a false flag by Israel, might set the dominoes falling within the course of world conflict.
One other Mideast flashpoint, after all, is the Pink Sea, particularly the Bab al-Mandab. Yemen’s Houthi-led authorities, backed by everybody within the area, is persevering with to assault Israel-bound ships in an effort to implement the World Courtroom’s anti-genocide order, regardless of the presence of a US armada unofficially generally known as Operation Genocide Guardian.
US ships are sitting geese because of the proliferation of superior anti-ship missiles. As a substitute of the long-awaited Persian Gulf of Tonkin incident, one iteration of which was thwarted in 2007 by US fifth Fleet advisor Gwenyth Todd, we might see a Pink Sea Gulf of Tonkin incident…solely it’d contain an precise assault, albeit a false flag one, as in “keep in mind the Maine.”
One other escalatory flashpoint might contain Lebanon’s Hezbollah, which has demonstrated a capability to penetrate Israeli defenses to hit heavily-guarded navy targets even below situations of highest alert. The Israelis clearly need all-out conflict with Hezbollah, as a way to drag the US into the following conflict with Iran. Solely a really agency “no” from the American facet prevented Israel from going to all-out conflict with Hezbollah after October 7. Given subsequent US ineffectuality at restraining the mad-dog Zionists, it isn’t exhausting to think about Israel getting its want and setting off World Warfare III by way of an all-out conflict with Hezbollah and the remainder of the Resistance Axis and Muslim world.
Flashpoint Palestine
Because the above examples counsel, there are a lot of ways in which the persevering with Israeli genocide of Palestine might not directly result in World Warfare III. However might Palestine turn into a direct flashpoint? The Palestinians don’t appear to have sufficient navy energy. But when the conflict goes badly sufficient for the Palestinian Resistance, different branches of the Axis of Resistance will escalate their help, with unpredictable penalties. Moreover, there may be large covert help for Palestine amongst rich and highly effective parts of regional nations, in some instances amongst high-ranking members of the state equipment who wouldn’t be caught lifeless—or moderately can be caught lifeless—in the event that they uttered their actual emotions in regards to the Zionists in public.
One nightmarish potential flashpoint is the specter of a no-return-address WMD assault on Israel. The expertise of WMD—micronukes, bioweapons, and the like—has been advancing for the reason that days of the Davy Crockett backpack nukes of the Fifties, and even since the US-developed COVID bioweapon assault on China and Iran of some years in the past (which turned out to be a fairly good proof-of-concept for deniable, no-return-address bioattacks on the whole). Anger at Israel, in mild of the present genocide, has reached the purpose that it’s just about inevitable that individuals will strive such issues inside the subsequent few a long time, assuming Israel remains to be round, and barring unexpected adjustments in Zionist habits.
Flashpoint Ukraine
Zionist fanatics on the mistaken facet of historical past have made Palestine and its area a possible WW3 flashpoint. Likewise Ukrainian nationalist fanatics, additionally on the mistaken facet of historical past, have created a parallel hazard.
Simply as 10 million Zionist Jews can not defeat two billion Muslims, 40 million Ukrainians can not defeat 140 million Russians. However the fanatics insist on attempting. They know that their solely hope is to tug the US into their conflict in an ever-bigger means. The consequence can be the destruction of the US empire, which, as talked about originally of the article, is grossly overextended given its 13%-and-shrinking share of world GDP.
Presently the fanatic faction, led by Zelensky, is combating the realist faction, led by Zaluzhny. If the fanatics win, their solely hope is to false-flag the US into bringing NATO instantly into the conflict. Which implies, after all, World Warfare III.
Flashpoint Taiwan
Although we didn’t speak about Taiwan in the most recent FFWN broadcast, it’s clear that the anti-China faction of neocons is attempting to show Taiwan into China’s Ukraine, by stoking the forces of fanatical Chinese language nationalism and attempting to goad Beijing into direct hostilities. In the event that they succeed, World Warfare III might begin within the “cleanest” potential means: An instantaneous, direct conflict between the sinking #1 energy and the rising #2 energy.
Different Flashpoints?
This transient dialogue actually doesn’t exhaust the checklist of potential WW3 flashpoints. I’m positive my readers can consider others. Be at liberty to drop some into the feedback part.
*At the least if you’re a realist. Since I’m an idealist, accepting as I do the arguments of Bernardo Kastrup and the Holy Qur’an, not essentially in that order, I reserve the precise to consider that with God’s assist we will avert World Warfare III.
